by DAVID BROWN | CLEARNFO.com | Jan 13, 2016

Demographic Winter?

Demographics are an incredibly important factor in Geopolitics and Economics, yet most people have little understanding of how this works and so their ignorance of this topic is used against them, to deceive them into believing things that are just not true. I will not take the time now to give a detailed explanation but will provide basic information on which we can all agree. First concept is that depending on local customs, religions, etc. most girls/women do not start having children until they are 13 to 20. Also depending on local customs and religions girls/women may have more than one child during a span of one to two or maybe three decades. In the West and the more developed countries child birth starts at an older age and we have less children per woman. So what does this mean? It means that most developed countries cannot produce enough children to keep the population steady and stable … in fact many countries are teetering on a demographic cliff. We can’t see this cliff because it takes a couple of decades to become apparent. What happens during these decades? Well, you have less children and the same number of deaths. This means that the population decreases as we can see all over the Western world. This is bad. Really bad. Why? Because as people age, they become less productive and more expensive to maintain AND you have a smaller number of younger people available to support this.

Another hidden trend is that population growth happens very slowly, but the demographic nightmare happens very quickly and the recovery from falling off this cliff is very slow, some 20 years away if it happens at all.

It is estimated that you need a fertility rate of 2.1 just to keep the population growth at zero. If a country has less than 2.1 children per woman, then they are shrinking and may face the demographic cliff if they don’t increase child birth or import immigrants. 132 countries have a fertility rate less than 2.1. This includes the US @ 1.87; Canada @ 1.59; China @ 1.60; Russia @ 1.61; Japan @ 1.4 and all of Western Europe.

So whilst the propagandists and fear merchants are warning you about the unsustainable population explosion in countries like Niger @ 6.7, what they are not telling you is that the real danger to you, your family, your economy and your country is the massive population decrease that is 10 to 20 years out.

More reading and videos on this topic at ClearNFO:

Demographic Winter and Population Growth